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Why do operators still feel uncertain about the future despite the new tax reform and tighter regulation of online gambling in the UK?

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The online gambling industry in the UK is at a crossroads. On one side are increasing tax rates and increasingly strict player protection rules, and on the other are operators' deep concerns about market appeal and business sustainability. This delicate balance between regulation and business is causing confusion and uncertainty among many practitioners.

Remote Taxation Surge and Ongoing Compliance Costs

When talking about operational pressures, operators probably first think of taxes. The 2019 "raid" is still impressive: the Remote Gaming Duty (RGD) suddenly jumped from 15% of Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) to 21%. That's no small amount! However, this is just the beginning. Subsequently, enhanced social responsibility measures for "high-value customers" and restrictions on online slot games were implemented. Now, everyone is preparing for the new vulnerability check thresholds and betting limits coming in 2025. Although the UK's tax rate is not particularly outrageous in Europe, this layer upon layer of regulatory "weight" continues to accumulate, making maintaining a successful market like walking a tightrope. For more global regulatory dynamics, you can follow the continuous updates on the PASA official website.

Political Winds and Operator Strategy Adjustments

The government's sometimes relaxed and sometimes aggressive attitude is another huge source of uncertainty. Currently, there is a high demand internally for a complete overhaul of gambling laws, with Labour backbenchers pushing to replace the outdated 2005 regulations with a brand new "Gambling Act" and establish statutory taxation. Interestingly, high-ranking figures like Chancellor Rachel Reeves have previously accepted political donations from gambling companies, which makes reformers worry that the leadership might be "soft". Faced with this political ambiguity and rising costs, operators have to be calculative.

Their strategy adjustments usually revolve around three levers: pricing, promotions, and marketing. In jurisdictions with higher tax rates, a common trend is to increase "gross profit," which means that the Return to Player (RTP) will quietly decrease. At the same time, the budget for marketing and promotional activities will be significantly reduced. Data speaks volumes: after tightening regulations, more than 60% of brands reduced betting promotions, and more than 70% cut marketing expenses. As a result, players will find that the "deals" offered by the legal market seem not so attractive anymore.

Retaining High-Value Players and the Core Challenge of "Diversion Rate"

For the stability of regulated markets, retaining those high-spending players is crucial. It is known that about 5% of players contribute nearly 80% of the total betting volume. These "big players" are much more sensitive to prices, promotions, and marketing than average players. Overly cumbersome identity verification or deposit limits and other regulatory measures are likely to "push them away". Everyone wants a smooth, rich online experience, and if regulation introduces too much "friction," the health of the market will be impaired. The core dilemma facing policymakers is here: how to find a balance between implementing strong player protection and avoiding making compliant products lose their value.

Where is the Road to a Sustainable Regulated Market?

The UK Gambling Commission is well aware that this balance must be achieved. The key is to make the regulated environment always the customer's first choice. Research shows that people choose platforms for various reasons, some even actively avoid the legal market due to self-exclusion and other restrictions. International analysis has given a clear warning: in jurisdictions with an average tax rate below 25%, tax revenue growth is actually faster. For example, after increasing the tax rate and regulatory reforms, the Netherlands saw a decline in tax revenue expectations. This is a lesson for everyone: legal gambling products must maintain sufficient attractiveness. The next phase needs data-based fine analysis to avoid inadvertently killing a legal industry while protecting vulnerable groups.

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This article is from "PASA-Global iGaming Leaders" gambling industry news channel: https://t.me/pasa_news

Original deep gambling channel: https://t.me/gamblingdeep

Free data report: @pasa_research

PASA Matrix: @pasa002_bot

PASA official website: https://www.pasa.news

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