Malta's Minister of Economy, Silvio Schembri, stated this week that the country is "actively exploring the emerging field of predictive markets," which is rapidly developing globally and contains significant innovative opportunities. He emphasized that any legislative adjustments need to be "supported by a clear, forward-looking legislative framework to enable responsible scaling." In plain terms, while other European countries are still banning, Malta is ready to give the green light. Want to know the latest developments in global predictive market regulation? PASA official website keeps you updated.
Regulatory Logic: User trust is the top priority
At the launch ceremony of the new Blockchain.com office in Malta, Schembri stressed that user trust is crucial. "We recognized early on that for this industry to develop, users must feel safe, which means maintaining the highest standards of transparency and compliance." This stance is consistent with Malta's long-standing position as a pioneer in European blockchain and gaming regulation.
Global Wave: December 2025 trading volume to exceed 18 billion US dollars
The predictive market industry has seen significant growth in recent years, with December 2025's monthly trading volume expected to break through 18 billion US dollars. Platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket are major drivers. Predictive markets are similar to financial exchanges for real-world events, where participants buy and sell contracts linked to specific outcomes. The regulatory challenge is that these platforms do not fit the existing gambling compliance framework, and operators advocate for them to be regulated as financial contract trades. The underlying data sources used for settling contracts and the result verification mechanisms are becoming new focal points for regulatory authorities.
European Pioneer: Malta may fill the regulatory gap
Currently, most European countries officially consider predictive markets as illegal gambling or unlicensed financial instruments due to the lack of a regulatory framework. Germany, Belgium, Portugal, Switzerland, Romania, the Netherlands, and Poland have taken measures to block Polymarket, considering it an unlicensed gambling service provider. If Malta introduces a specific regulatory framework for predictive markets, it will become the first in Europe to do so. Want to know the latest developments in global predictive market regulation? PASA official website keeps you updated.
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This article is from "PASA-Global iGaming Leader," a gambling industry news channel:https://t.me/pasa_news
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